Predicting the 2013 calendar pick order

The 2013 Formula One calendar has been revised today (December 5th). New Jersey, which was meant to be replacing Valencia has been dropped with ‘a European round’ on July 21st. The calendar is therefore as follows:

March 17th – Australia (Melbourne)
March 24th – Malaysia (Sepang)
April 14st – China (Shanghai)
April 21st – Bahrain (Sakhir)
May 12th – Spain (Barcelona)
May 26th – Monaco (Monte Carlo)
June 9th – Canada (Montreal)
June 30th – Britain (Silverstone)
July 7th – Germany (Nurburgring)
July 21st – ‘a European round’
July 28th – Hungary (Hungaroring)
August 25th – Belgium (Spa)
September 8th – Italy (Monza)
September 22nd – Singapore (Marina Bay)
October 6th – Korea (Yeongam)
October 13th – Japan (Suzuka)
October 27th – India (Buddh International Circuit)
November 3rd – Abu Dhabi (Yas Marina)
November 17th – United States (Austin)
November 24th – Brazil (Interlagos)

The European round on July 21st is subject to confirmation but the rest is confirmed. Because of the way the BBC and Sky deal works, both sides have to ‘pick’ races. The races that BBC pick will be shown live on BBC One and Sky Sports F1, while the races that Sky pick will be shown exclusively live on Sky Sports F1, with highlights on BBC One. The picks go as follows:

– BBC pick three races (pick 1, 2 and 3)
– Sky pick three races (pick 4, 5 and 6)
– BBC pick one race (pick 7)
– Sky pick one race (pick 8)

This continues until every race has been picked. Next season is provisionally scheduled with twenty races, but if it was a odd race season, then Sky get the deciding pick, so that they have either half of the total number of races, or “half + 1 race”. Basically here, I’m predicting how the pick orders will go. You’re probably thinking “surely it will be the same as last year, just replacing Valencia with ‘a European round’? I don’t think so. Firstly, because there are no major sporting events in the Summer that clash with Formula 1, which may influence the pick orders. And secondly, if we remained with the same picks as last year, then BBC would not be screening any races for nearly two months, which may be a situation they wish to avoid. This year it was not so bad because they had the Olympics, but there is no Olympics next year for them.

So in effect, I’m going to rip up last year’s pick order and start from scratch.

BBC pick Britain, Monaco and Brazil – Which are presumably the same three first picks as this year. Monaco and Brazil are both the blue ribbon events, the latter again the season finale and potential title decider. Britain is obviously the first pick. Interestingly, it falls on the ‘middle Sunday’ of Wimbledon, which may be the reason why it is in June and not July, to avoid a clash with the Wimbledon final. So the British Grand Prix should be on BBC One next year and not BBC Two as it was this year.

Sky pick Canada, United States and ??? – This is where things get interesting. Sky pick Canada and United States as with this year. But their third pick? For me, it is a toss up between Melbourne and New Jersey in June. From Sky’s perspective, Melbourne is the unfriendliest slot of the entire twenty races, but it is also the season opener. Is it as important for them next year as it is this year? This year they were starting their coverage for the first time, so arguably getting Australia was more important than ever before. Is next year as important? I don’t think so. Plus, with no football competition in June, Canada and New Jersey surely will bring Sky Sports F1 the channel’s highest ever peaks. Whilst Canada’s overall viewing figures were very poor, Sky Sports F1’s highest peak so far also came from that race.

Therefore Sky pick America. As Sky did not pick Australia, that inevitably means BBC pick Australia, potentially even luring viewers into a false sense of security that every race of the season is back on BBC as the season opener is. In any case, as with this year, Sky pick Malaysia.

Okay, the above does not look pretty, but I wanted to keep it there for future reference, so have struck it off. As I noted above. Sky pick Canada, United States and ??? – Had New Jersey been on the calendar, they would have had a choice between that and Australia. But as New Jersey is not on the calendar, Sky will go for the season opener, meaning that it would be exclusively on Sky again. Therefore Sky pick Australia, BBC pick Malaysia and Sky pick China.

Attention at this point I think would move back to the European season with the pick order as follows:

March 17th – Australia (Melbourne) – Sky
March 24th – Malaysia (Sepang) – BBC
April 14st – China (Shanghai) – Sky
April 21st – Bahrain (Sakhir)
May 12th – Spain (Barcelona)
May 26th – Monaco (Monte Carlo) – BBC
June 9th – Canada (Montreal) – Sky
June 30th – Britain (Silverstone) – BBC
July 14th – Germany (Nurburgring)
July 21st – ‘a European round’
July 28th – Hungary (Hungaroring)
August 25th – Belgium (Spa)
September 8th – Italy (Monza)
September 22nd – Singapore (Marina Bay)
October 6th – Korea (Yeongam)
October 13th – Japan (Suzuka)
October 27th – India (Buddh International Circuit)
November 3rd – Abu Dhabi (Yas Marina)
November 17th – United States (Austin) – Sky
November 24th – Brazil (Interlagos) – BBC

Logically, BBC pick Belgium and Sky pick Italy so that BBC get another blue ribbond event. Unlike in previous year’s, where Germany and Hungary were late in the pick line with BBC not having either event live due to the Olympics, I anticipate that both events will be wanted this time around. With that in mind, I can see BBC picking Hungary and Sky picking Germany. It also means that BBC viewers do not go nearly two months without seeing a live Formula 1 race on the BBC, which would have broken the season up massively. From this point, I think picks would essentially ‘transcend’ up the calendar alternatively. So we have BBC pick Abu Dhabi, Sky pick India, BBC pick Japan, Sky pick Korea, BBC pick Singapore.

Which means, we are left with this:

March 17th – Australia (Melbourne) – Sky
March 24th – Malaysia (Sepang) – BBC
April 14st – China (Shanghai) – Sky
April 21st – Bahrain (Sakhir)
May 12th – Spain (Barcelona)
May 26th – Monaco (Monte Carlo) – BBC
June 9th – Canada (Montreal) – Sky
June 30th – Britain (Silverstone) – BBC
July 14th – Germany (Nurburgring) – Sky
July 21st – ‘a European round’
July 28th – Hungary (Hungaroring) – BBC
August 25th – Belgium (Spa) – BBC
September 8th – Italy (Monza) – Sky
September 22nd – Singapore (Marina Bay) – BBC
October 6th – Korea (Yeongam) – Sky
October 13th – Japan (Suzuka) – BBC
October 27th – India (Buddh International Circuit) – Sky
November 3rd – Abu Dhabi (Yas Marina) – BBC
November 17th – United States (Austin) – Sky
November 24th – Brazil (Interlagos) – BBC

The remaining races are therefore Bahrain, Spain and ‘a European round’. Spain falls on the penultimate weekend of the Premier League season, therefore I don’t believe Sky would want this race exclusively. Therefore Sky pick Bahrain. From a timezone standpoint and commercial stand-point, Spain however is better for Sky than China, meaning BBC pick China and Sky pick Spain. The timezone and commercial reason does not exist anymore, instead it is a matter of which race exists and which one may not exist. Therefore BBC pick Spain and Sky pick ‘a European round’.

Which leaves the final calendar as follows:

March 17th – Australia (Melbourne) – Sky
March 24th – Malaysia (Sepang) – BBC
April 14st – China (Shanghai) – Sky
April 21st – Bahrain (Sakhir) – Sky
May 12th – Spain (Barcelona) – BBC
May 26th – Monaco (Monte Carlo) – BBC
June 9th – Canada (Montreal) – Sky
June 30th – Britain (Silverstone) – BBC
July 14th – Germany (Nurburgring) – Sky
July 21st – ‘a European round’ – Sky
July 28th – Hungary (Hungaroring) – BBC
August 25th – Belgium (Spa) – BBC
September 8th – Italy (Monza) – Sky
September 22nd – Singapore (Marina Bay) – BBC
October 6th – Korea (Yeongam) – Sky
October 13th – Japan (Suzuka) – BBC
October 27th – India (Buddh International Circuit) – Sky
November 3rd – Abu Dhabi (Yas Marina) – BBC
November 17th – United States (Austin) – Sky
November 24th – Brazil (Interlagos) – BBC

If ‘a European round’ disappears, then BBC lose Hungary live. Unfortunately, that would mean a two month gap between two live races, but there is little workaround, it is either lose Hungary and Belgium, and Hungary would be the race you prefer to lose. That is how I anticipate the picks will shape up.

Updated on December 5th, 2012.

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21 thoughts on “Predicting the 2013 calendar pick order

  1. I Want The BBC To Show Australia, Malaysia, Bahrain, Spain, Monaco, Canada, Belgium, Italy, India And Abu Dhabi Live Next Year For The 2013 Coverage Because The BBC Showed Australia, Malaysia, Bahrain, Canada, Italy And India As Extended Highlights This Year So I Think They Should Put Them 10 Races Live Next Year And The Other 10 Races As Extended Highlights.

    Ruman Khan

  2. I Want The BBC To Show The Australian Grand Prix Live Next Year Because It Wasn’t Shown Live This Year And I Want It To Have The Australian Grand Prix – Forum To.

    Ruman Khan

  3. I watch the BBC pre and post race commentary and the SKY race commentary. Frankly, since Martin and Murray, Martin and DC were shaping up to be the best race team. Perhaps the sensible and cost saving thing would have been to pool their race coverage as the BBC still provides the live world English language feed.

    • As much as I agree with you, it was never a realistic option because Sky commentary like to mention ‘Sky Sports F1 HD’, ‘Sky Race Control’ for example as much as possible. For that reason alone you could not imagine Sky commentary airing on BBC.

      Also, it is worth noting that there is no official Formula One Management World Feed commentary for the Formula 1 as far as I know. Yes, BBC’s commentary is heard in many countries live, but they go through the BBC to get that, not through FOM so in that sense the BBC commentary is not the World Feed. The only World Feed commentaries FOM produce are for the support races which Will Buxton commentates on.

  4. Please Show The 2013 Australian Grand Prix Live Next Year On The BBC Because The BBC Didn’t Show The Australian Grand Prix Live This Year And It Was Only Extended Highlights And There Also Has To Be An F1 Forum For The 2013 Australian Grand Prix Next Year To.

  5. Well this may have went out the window due to the fact that at the end of the Brazil Grand Prix, Jake Humphery said that the BBC would be live for the full 2013 season.

  6. Shame about Brundle being a coin chaser and going off for the Sky dollar. The rest of them are no loss. The BBC’s coverage of F1 is far superior in every way. It is just a shame the Beeb’s priority is giving their executives big buck’s, rather than giving Sky some competition, when they are buying up all the worthwhile live sport. We will end up with county level diddley winks, being shown on the Beeb, while they are giving their execs millions of our money for them breeding woodworm to insert into what used to be a solid oak sport schedule on the BBC! Sky spells the death knell for free to air sport, and the BBC executives have a huge black tie party to celebrate!

    • I reckon a reason Brundle went to the dark side was to do with the promise of being heavily promoted in their coverage as well as his son Alex, who is trying for a seat in F1 (something the BBC can’t do because of their editorial rules). I have found Herbert & Hill far better than the increasingly arrogant Brundle and hope Sky will promote them more next season.

      • I hope sky disappear all together, give the beeb the whole calender. It would but the brakes on Bernie hoaring the show to the highest bidder I would agree Hill and Herbert put their extreme knowledge over in a very pleasing way.

  7. Worth noting that though Silverstone falls on the middle Sunday of Wimbledon, the German Grand Prix now clashes with the mens Wimbledon final. Less of an issue than a clash with Silverstone because it’s not 2 big British sporting events going head to head, however, I’d fully expect the German Grand Prix (if it’s live on the BBC) to be on BBC2. The mens Wimbledon final would (in my opinion, even as an F1 fan) rightly get priority on BBC1.

  8. When will the BBC live races be announced. I think we knew the 2012 live races in November 2011.

    Is there a date set for the announcement?

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